October 17, 2006 Predicition - Apple will sell 6.6 - 6.8 million Macs in 2007

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By: switchtoamac at: 11:09 AM on October 8, 2007 | Comments (1)
I published a prediction last October outling my estimate for 2007 Macintosh sales for Apple's 2007 fiscal year.  Specifically, the prediction was made on October 17, 2006 one day before Apple released fiscal 2006 Q4 (fourth quarter) earnings and Q4 Mac sales.  The October 18, 2006 earnings release detailed the number of Macs sold during Apple's 2006 fourth quarter and it subsequently allowed analysts to calculate the total number of Macs sold during Apple's 2006 fiscal year.

The point I'd like to highlight is that my prediction for 2007 Mac unit sales was made prior to knowing comparable 2006 Q4 numbers and the total number of Macs sold in 2006.  The predicition was made in the following October 17, 2006 article under the section "2007 Commentary":

    "I expect that Apple will ship between 6,600,000 and 6,800,000 Mac in fiscal year 2007 as Apple will see an acceleration in Mac adoption across consumer and business markets.  Revamped Macintosh models (iMac, Mac mini, Mac Pro, MacBook, Pro, and MacBook) will include Intel's latest processors, new models, the release of Mac OS X Leopard (10.5), new iPods, and new gadgets (iPhone?) will all culminate towards increased consumer and enterprise acceptance of Apple products.  The by-product will trickle directly on Macintosh sales as all products will leverage the OS X operating system running on a Mac."

2007 Mac sales for the first three quarters of 2007 have checked in at 4.887 million units.  Analysts have estimated that Apple will have sold somewhere in the range of 2 million Macs during the 2007 fourth quarter which concluded at the end of September.  Thus far, my prediction is looking fairly accurate given the number of Macs sold during the first three quarters and when combined with Wall Street analyst estimates for the recently completed quarter.  Apple will release Q4 2007 earnings on October 22, 2007 so we'll find out how accurate my year ago prediction is.

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1 Reader Comments

I think u are wrong

2 million in this Q is conservative. 2.1 2.2 and so near 7 million

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